NewsFox 13 News (WTVT) — All NewsSeptember 4, 2026Hillsborough
Climate Prediction Center forecasts warmer-than-normal fall for Tampa Bay
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) projects warmer-than-normal temperatures for Tampa Bay through November, with a strong El Niño pattern likely influencing regional weather. While September remains a wet month, rainfall is expected to decrease significantly by October as the region transitions toward winter.
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Residents should anticipate extended summer-like temperatures through November and potential shifts in precipitation patterns due to a strengthening , which typically impacts Florida weather most significantly during the winter months.
Key Facts
- The Climate Prediction Center forecasts warmer-than-normal temperatures for Florida throughout September, October, and November.
- September averages 6.09 inches of rain, while October averages 2.34 inches.
- A strong, potentially historic El Niño is strengthening in the tropical Pacific, which typically influences Florida's winter weather.
- Meteorological fall is defined as September 1 through November 30.
- Astronomical fall begins on September 22, 2026.
- Average high temperatures in Tampa typically drop from 90° in September to the mid-80s in October and near 80° in November.
- El Niño shifts the jet stream and atmospheric circulation, which often leads to cooler winter months in Florida.
- Consistent cooler weather in Tampa Bay typically does not arrive until November.