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NewsWPLG Local 10 – Main FeedJuly 31, 2026United States

August Hurricane Trends and Forecast

This article analyzes historical hurricane landfall data for the U.S. and provides a brief outlook for potential storm activity in early August. It highlights regional differences in peak hurricane risk between states like Florida and Texas.

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Why It Matters

Residents in hurricane-prone states face varying levels of storm risk depending on the month and their specific geographic location, which informs seasonal emergency planning.

Key Facts

  • August has historically seen 82 U.S. hurricane landfalls, compared to 49 for June and July combined.
  • September is the month with the highest historical probability of a U.S. hurricane landfall.
  • Florida has recorded more total hurricane landfalls than any other state.
  • Texas historically records more hurricane landfalls than Florida during June and July.
  • Texas hurricane activity typically peaks in August, while most other states peak in September.
  • Hurricane risk in Texas drops significantly by October.
  • South Florida experiences high hurricane activity in October, comparable to its September levels.
  • Current weather models indicate a low (10%) chance of development for a disturbance moving through the subtropics near August 8th.
  • Models suggest potential development of a tropical wave in the Atlantic Main Development Region toward the middle of August.

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